Will the U.S. Stock Market Rise Over the Next 18 Months?

Jeffrey Goodman
9 min readJul 25, 2022

Most of the stock market’s strong surge from 2020 to 2022 was not due to companies all of a sudden doubling their profit forecasts. Instead…

Photo taken by author, 2021

Related and recent articles

When Is a Stock Market Crash Not Really a Stock Market Crash?
The Rule of 72 — A Shortcut That Makes Anyone Look Like a Math Genius
Did This Happen by Accident to 89% of America’s Stock Market Wealth?
Would We Be Smart to Ask These 3 Questions About the Housing Market?
(Part 1) The 5 Most Important U.S. Economic Events Over the Last 50 Years
5 Things You Need to Know About U.S. Stock Buybacks

(Subscribe to receive email notifications when I post new articles.)

The 120% rise in the S&P 500 over just 22 months was due to trillions and trillions of dollars of stimulus money being pumped:

  • into various asset classes;
  • into Wall Street;
  • into keeping major corporations awash in enough cash that they did not have to immediately lay off workers;
  • and just a bit — but probably not much more than a bit — into the bank accounts of individual families and workers…

--

--

Jeffrey Goodman
Jeffrey Goodman

Written by Jeffrey Goodman

Navigating facts and numbers to help people. Strong opinions on climate change and healthcare. Objective, not neutral. MIT engineer, Wharton MBA.

Responses (5)